hoofbeats

They do nothing to differentiate between the possible explanations of the hoofbeats, so you go with the prior.

No but one of the things doctors learn is that when you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras.

AI is a little bit like Occam‘s razor, when you say hoofbeats, you get horses.

The presence of hoofbeats raises the plausibility of both propositions by exactly the same amount, but the ratio between them remains the same, so the evidence is most likely evidence of horses, not zebras.

I don't mean to reply to this too pithily, but some pith kind of fits here: When you hear hoofbeats, assume horses, not zebras.

From the second sentence of your link: The term derives from the aphorism 'When you hear hoofbeats behind you, don't expect to see a zebra'.

The way you write about your emotions makes me think you take the sound of hoofbeats and start freaking out about zebras, not rationally concluding horses.

When you hear hoofbeats, think horses, not zebras.

When you hear hoofbeats think horses, not zebras.

[???]: hoofbeats Very fitting; never viewed it with an entrepreneurial POV before.

In this particular case, "when you see stripes with hoofbeats, think zebra, not horse with a paintjob"

There's a saying that likely applies here: "When you hear hoofbeats, think of horses not zebras"

"When you hear hoofbeats, think of horses not zebras." That doesn't mean zebras are impossible.

As the saying goes: "when you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras"

When You Hear Hoofbeats, Think of a Zebra Slaughterhouse-Five – Honestly, just read some Kurt Vonnegut.