augury

As written, the twitter thread is basically augury.

If you finish early, the powers that be are more likely to attribute it to bad powers of augury as opposed to extra hard work.

But given how unreliable people are, feels more like augury than rationality to claim you saw it coming, post facto.

Perhaps over time we will wipe ourselves out and only bird augury using farming communities will survive the test of time

If divination by bird augury is so wise, why don't we still use that to plan agricultural layouts?/sBut that sort of underscores the main argument against this stuff.

This is just mistaking correlation for causation, as if you had seen Romans conquering the Mediterranean world while making heavy use of augury by reading entrails and decided that the way to emulate them was to read entrails, not to have the best infantry, and the most infantry.

Employers inflict on the candidate two rounds of phone screening, a take-home project, two rounds of on-site interviews, psychometric testing, augury from flight of birds, augury from feeding of chickens, a haruspicium, diversity statement and inquiry from the I-ching, and despite all these measures they still complain how hard it is to hire a decent programmer.